Horizon pretracking

We introduce horizon pretracking as a method for analyzing numerically generated spacetimes of merging black holes. Pretracking consists of following certain modified constant expansion surfaces during a simulation before a common apparent horizon has formed. The tracked surfaces exist at all times, and are defined so as to include the common apparent horizon if it exists. The method provides a way for finding this common apparent horizon in an efficient and reliable manner at the earliest possible time. We can distinguish inner and outer horizons by examining the distortion of the surface. Properties of the pretracking surface such as its expansion, location, shape, area, and angular momentum can also be used to predict when a common apparent horizon will appear, and its characteristics. The latter could also be used to feed back into the simulation by adapting, e.g., boundary or gauge conditions even before the common apparent horizon has formed.