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Phys. Rev. D 80, 023507 (2009) [18 pages]

Estimation of cosmological parameters using adaptive importance sampling

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Darren Wraith1,2, Martin Kilbinger2, Karim Benabed2, Olivier Cappé3, Jean-François Cardoso3,2, Gersende Fort3, Simon Prunet2, and Christian P. Robert1
1CEREMADE, Université Paris Dauphine, 75775 Paris cedex 16, France
2Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, CNRS UMR 7095 & UPMC, 98 bis, boulevard Arago, 75014 Paris, France
3LTCI, TELECOM ParisTech and CNRS, 46, rue Barrault, 75013 Paris, France

Received 11 March 2009; published 10 July 2009

We present a Bayesian sampling algorithm called adaptive importance sampling or population Monte Carlo (PMC), whose computational workload is easily parallelizable and thus has the potential to considerably reduce the wall-clock time required for sampling, along with providing other benefits. To assess the performance of the approach for cosmological problems, we use simulated and actual data consisting of CMB anisotropies, supernovae of type Ia, and weak cosmological lensing, and provide a comparison of results to those obtained using state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). For both types of data sets, we find comparable parameter estimates for PMC and MCMC, with the advantage of a significantly lower wall-clock time for PMC. In the case of WMAP5 data, for example, the wall-clock time scale reduces from days for MCMC to hours using PMC on a cluster of processors. Other benefits of the PMC approach, along with potential difficulties in using the approach, are analyzed and discussed.

© 2009 The American Physical Society

URL:
http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevD.80.023507
DOI:
10.1103/PhysRevD.80.023507
PACS:
98.80.Es, 02.50.−r, 02.50.Sk